NFC mEdiocre

Over the last 3 years, teams in the NFC East have averaged 7.75 wins. That’s not awful, but it’s obviously just below the league average of 8. The NFC East ranks 5th among the 8 NFL division in wins during that span.

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The NFC East also ranks 5th over the last 3 years in point differential, which makes sense. Again, the NFC East isn’t awful here, especially compared to the AFC West and the AFC South, who combined for a point differential of -864 over the last 2 years.

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But here’s where the NFC East gets really mediocre. Over the last 3 years, the division champ has averaged just 9.7 wins. That is the lowest total in the NFL among the 8 divisions.

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When teams with 9 or 10 wins are winning the NFC East, there’s a very good chance they won’t be very well represented as wildcard playoff teams. Sure enough, the NFC East is one of just two divisions not to have a wildcard team in the playoffs the last 3 years.

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Conversely, the worst team in the division the last 3 years hasn’t been terrible, with the exception of the 2012 Eagles. The NFC East division cellar dweller has averaged the 2nd most wins among the 8 divisions.

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And that’s probably what the NFC East will be again this year. No great teams, and probably no awful ones either. For a division that was involved in 10 of the top 20 most watched TV shows of the 2012 fall schedule (which is not limited to just football), the NFC East is extraordinarily mediocre. Frankly, if it weren’t for the Giants’ surprise Super Bowl run following the 2011 season, the NFC East would almost be irrelevant, in terms of dominating football teams.

Yesterday, I had my daughter pick the NFC East winner. Her take was dead on. She pushed all the helmets aside, as if she didn’t really want to pick any of them, then settled on the one she sees the most.

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  36. Kane Briones says:

    The end result is valid but the methodology is wrong. What if the NFC east was comprised of the talent of the 2007 Patriots? They would all have to face each other so let’s say the division record is 7-7 for a year. The record would say the NFC east is mediocre.

    1. No it wouldn’t. They’d have a combined record of 12-12 within the division, and would dominate outside of it. If they went undefeated like the 2007 Patriots, with the exception of the in-division games, the average record of the four teams would be 13-3. There’d be nothing mediocre about that at all.

  37. Brett says:

    This is bound to happen with any division containing the Eagles.

  38. Tom says:

    Interesting when you look at Total Wins and Point Differential – you can see the NFC-West’s rise to prominence.

    The good side is that fans of all 4 teams (yes, I said 4) can have realistic hopes of winning the division – there are no dominant teams like GB, NE, or even ATL that need to be overthrown.

  39. [...] Jimmy Bama breaks the bad news that…the NFC East is pretty mediocre. [...]

  40. RedskinsFan says:

    “No NFCE team has rolled over and played dead”? Really? To hear certain fans of a specific NFCE team, during the season, last year one of the teams did exactly that. We won’t name the team, but it’s a team with a bird as a mascot.

    1. sucking horribly isn’t the same as rolling over and playing dead.

  41. NYG_Slater says:

    Bloggingtheleast?

  42. ct17 says:

    The disappointing records are evident in the criticisms of Romo, JJones, Reid, Vick, Gilbride, and Fewell, whether by fans or the media. NFCE has underperformed.

    However, while we have choked in big games, we put up a hell of a fight. No NFCE team has rolled over and played dead. There are no free wins. So as a subjective opinion I would rate the division higher.

  43. Willgfass says:

    The football gods are obviously punishing us for the hubris of this site’s name.

    1. horatius says:

      I had a gut feeling that I could find a way to blame that rat-bastard JimmyK somehow for this. And I was right.

  44. Skins Fan says:

    Jimmy—Interesting statistics–but don’t they mostly show that there is great parity within our division, with no team being dominating. We may also be mediocre, but to show that you need to trot out how we did collectively against non-division teams, compared to other divisions and adjusting for strength of schedule (since some years we play more dominating divisions). Steven

    1. You actually can tell how they fared against non-division teams. The combined win % within the division is always going to be .500. So if a division has a sub-.500 overall record, it will always also be sub-.500 vs non-division opponents.

      Also, by going back 3 years, it accounts for the NFC East playing each of the other 3 NFC divisions, which rotate every year.

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