According to Pro Football Talk, the Eagles are willing to take whatever they can get for Asante Samuel.
I’m not sure I quite buy that (at least that they’re so motivated to do so sooner than later) but here’s what I wrote about Asante Samuel a few weeks ago (this was the post that Samuel tweeted to everyone and their mother on Easter):
According to Football Outsiders, Samuel was only thrown at 36 times the entire 2010 season. He had a “success rate” of 78%, which was by far and away the best in the NFL. For quick reference, FO defines “success rate” as “the percentage of passes that don’t manage to get at least 45 percent of needed yards on first down, 60 percent of needed yards on second down, or 100 percent of needed yards on third down.” That was the best in the NFL. Second best? A name you might know… Darrelle Revis, at 70%.
As far as yards per pass attempt, Samuel gave up a paltry 3.2 yards per pass, which again, was the best in the NFL. Second best? Another name you probably recognize… Antoine Winfield, with 4.2 yards per attempt. To put 3.2 yards per attempt in perspective. Aaron Rodgers averaged a ridiculous 9.25 yards per attempt this past year. That was the best in the league. The bottom 4 QB’s in the NFL were Curtis Painter (6.34), Sam Bradford (6.06), Colt McCoy (5.90), and Blaine Gabbert (5.36).
But the most amazing part of Samuel’s 2010 season was that despite only being thrown at 36 times, he somehow intercepted 7 passes. That’s incredible.
Football Outsiders has yet to put out their 2011 CB charting stats, but they did give a sneak peek through Week 13 of the 2011 season. Despite a new defensive scheme that didn’t quite cater to Samuel’s skill set, the numbers were more of the same. He was 5th in “success rate” at 67%, and his yards per pass attempt were again extremely low at 4.5 yards per attempt (3rd in the NFL). Those stats don’t include Samuel’s final two games of the season against the Jets and Dolphins, games in which the opposing QB’s and WR’s had miserable Sunday afternoons.
And here’s what I wrote in a similar post about DeAngelo Hall a couple weeks ago, using those same Football Outsiders metrics:
In 2010, DeAngelo Hall had the 2nd worst “success rate” in the NFL at 39%. He also gave up the 3rd most yards per target in the NFL (10.5), and the 3rd worst yards after catch (5.8).
2011 was actually worse. Through 12 games on the 2011 season (Football Outsides hasn’t yet published their full-season findings), Hall was 3rd worst in the NFL in success rate (36%) and 2nd worst in yards per target (11.1 yards). Missing in action were the big plays, as he managed just 3 INT’s (his lowest total since his rookie season in 2004) and 1 FF.
The hangup for Samuel is that you’d be taking on a player that’s 31 years old who is going to make almost $10 million in 2012. However, DeAngelo Hall is going to cost $6.5 million against the cap in 2012, $8 million in 2013, and $9.5 million in 2014. The Skins can get out of the contract with very little penalty whenever they’d like.
According to Aaron Wilson of FOX Sports, the Skins have a little under $5 million of cap space. The difference of money from DeAngelo Hall to Asante Samuel would fit, and the Skins would be getting a massive upgrade in a secondary that looks like it could be a disaster in 2012. Is that upgrade worth a 5th or 6th round pick, or perhaps even slightly more if the Eagles are looking for a premium by trading him within the division? In my opinion, there’s no question.
h/t to my boy @UKRedskin1.