Let’s pretend for a minute that DeAngelo Hall was a free agent this offseason, and the Redskins re-signed him to a 3 year deal worth $24 million. He’ll cost $6.5 million against the cap in 2012, $8 million in 2013, and $9.5 million in 2014. We’d all laugh at them, right? Well, that’s pretty much what they did. Hall has 3 years left on a terrible contract that the Redskins can get out of whenever they’d like, with a relatively miniscule cap hit. By cutting him, they could have freed up money to go out and find themselves a new, better CB. In short, the Redskins had an opportunity to upgrade the position while also shaving some money off the cap. They chose not to seize that opportunity.
Remember when DeAngelo Hall stole the ball (and some dignity) away from Tashard Choice in the Skins’ Week 1 game against the Cowboys in 2010? Remember when he picked off Jay Cutler 4 times in one game in 2010? He got into the 2010 Pro Bowl largely on those two things, undeservedly. The guy will make the occasional big play. I’ll certainly give him some credit for that. But when he’s not making plays, he’s one of the worst CB’s in the league.
Football Outsiders has a stat they use for corners that they refer to as “success rate,” which charts the percentage of passes that don’t manage to get at least 45 percent of needed yards on first down, 60 percent of needed yards on second down, or 100 percent of needed yards on third down. It’s an imperfect stat (as they all are) that also requires some level of football knowledge to determine which defensive back is being “targeted” on any one play. Still, it provides a pretty good framework of which corners are playing well, and which ones aren’t.
In 2010, DeAngelo Hall had the 2nd worst “success rate” in the NFL at 39%. He also gave up the 3rd most yards per target in the NFL (10.5), and the 3rd worst yards after catch (5.8).
2011 was actually worse. Through 12 games on the 2011 season (Football Outsides hasn’t yet published their full-season findings), Hall was 3rd worst in the NFL in success rate (36%) and 2nd worst in yards per target (11.1 yards). Missing in action were the big plays, as he managed just 3 INT’s (his lowest total since his rookie season in 2004) and 1 FF.
And yet, keeping in mind that the below contracts are more complex than the simple numbers below will suggest (especially since almost none of Hall’s money is guaranteed), Hall would have been the third highest paid corner from this free agent class, which included a number of players that were also wildly overpaid:
|Player||Team||Years||Money||Per year (in millions)|
To me, there’s no difference whatsoever between wild overspending on outside free agents and senselessly hanging onto overpaid players that aren’t playing well, which is precisely what the Skins are doing with DeAngelo Hall.