Could the Eagles go QB in the 1st round of the 2012 NFL draft?

Jake Locker was drafted 8th overall in the 2011 NFL draft. He makes a little more than $3 million per season.

As a disclaimer, college football isn’t my bag.  I’m not going to sit here and pontificate on the merits of Matt Barkley or Robert Griffin III, when really, I’ve only casually watched them play in between folding laundry and napping on the sofa on Saturdays.  I’ll leave the scouting work to the folks that have a semblance of a clue about whether those guys look like future Super Bowl winners or not.  But the general consensus is that the QB class this year is extremely strong, as there are going to be 5 QBs in this upcoming draft that are looking like first round picks: Andrew Luck, Matt Barkley, Robert Griffin III, Landry Jones, and Ryan Tannehill.

Michael Vick will turn 32 next June.  Over the past two seasons, he has suffered a wide assortment of injuries: ribs, concussion, dirt in the eyes, etc.  When he’s healthy, he’s one of the most dangerous players in the NFL, as evidenced by his 2nd place finish in the MVP balloting a year ago.  He’s the Eagles’ QB now, and will almost certainly be the guy in 2012 as well.

In August, Vick signed a contract extension that his agent framed as a 6 year, $100 million deal.  In reality, as Pro Football Talk put it, “as a practical matter it’s probably worth $48 million over three years.”

Year 1 is already over and done with.

There are currently 6 teams that have a worse record than the Philadelphia Eagles.  It’s looking like they’re almost certain to be drafting in the Top 10 of the 2012 NFL draft.

Not to go ultra obvious here, but think of the 5 best teams in the NFL, whoever they may be in your opinion.  OK, now, who ya got as your 5 best QBs in the NFL?  There’s some overlap there, no?

Would the Eagles dare draft a QB?  Two or three years ago, probably not.

Consider Mark Sanchez in 2009.  He was drafted 5th overall.  His contract: 5 years, $44.5 million.  However, with more reasonable rookie contracts under the new CBA, drafting a QB in the first round isn’t anywhere near as costly/risky.  Jake Locker, for example, was drafted 8th overall this year.  His contract: 4 years, $12.58 million.  Compare that with what Vince Young is making this season.

I think most Eagles fans have stamped in permanent ink that they want a LB in the first round this year.  I can certainly empathize with that sentiment, as the Eagles have had a comical cavalcade of LB ineptness over the last decade+.  But if the Eagles really like a QB (and I won’t even get into the whole aspect of the possibility of a new head coach), can they really pass on him if they think he can lead them to a Super Bowl, in favor of a linebacker?

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  64. tuna83 says:

    I agree with you Norman. Q would have been a huge keeper. With all this movement to youth Honestly people… What can we expect? I guess a lot more but it seems stuff like this is more likely to happen without a good established Vets.

    Who ever is making decisions in the draft, we need a change

  65. norman says:

    Know whose name I don’t hear enough? Mikell. How good was he? I regret his loss 2x more than Dawks. Dawks was a rare case but the right call was made. Q was far more marginal and could’ve been cheap.

    Sam talked about a “Culture Carrier” in a recent post. Q is a Culture Carrier. He would’ve added vetern leadership coming off the bench worst case scenerio. He would’ve been affordable and allowed us to use pick 2 on a linebacker.

    Sam completely nails it. Its a failure from beyond Reid. Its a systematic design flaw to completely ignore positions in lieu of depth elsewhere. Poor coaching, misjudgement of talent in both draft and post draft, and Reids inability to have a strong handed Defensive coordinator has kept the Eagles hamstrung. They were winning in spite of the odds that they should’ve. Miracle At The Meadlowlands and other wins were flukey.

  66. Tyrant says:

    You all better draft a QB Vick and Young suck.

    Romo > Vick + Young

    1. Ralf E. Chubbs says:

      in botched field goal holds, yes.

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  68. Fiftyfourd says:

    I say take kellon Moore with our 2nd rounder

  69. tuna83 says:

    Jimmy, it is like I said last night man… The safeties are awful and I can’t be convinced otherwise..

    Play Jarrett your future, now!

    Colemon nor Allen can tackle. Guess who can? Jarrett (sp?). Draft a stud if there is one worth drafting with that first round pick. Allen can play back up and colemon too.

    I’m not trying to sing the praises of JJ, but can the season or the safety play get any worse? Throw him in the fire..

    When we got rid of Dawk, we could all remember a few plays that season that had shown he has slown down. However he was 10x better than these boys. You didn’t recall where he got beat 3x a f$#@@^ game!…

    Everyone points to when Jim Johnson left we declined. When our safety play left we declined!

    Scrap Allen, Colemon as they are not helping. They don’t make plays (Except, that one game). WE NEED safety play. I know everyone wants a LB. I do too, but we NEED a safety more…

  70. Imp says:

    Possibly. If Reid is still around, probably not. It will be a player that can make an instant impact – since his seat is pretty hot after this year. If Reid isn’t around, it is more likely – a new head coach usually wants a young QB. (Schwartz – Stafford, Rex Ryan – Sanchez, Spags – Bradford, etc)

  71. rage114 says:

    I can see them taking a QB with their first pick.

    Then again, I can see them taking yet another DE and drafting some QB in the 3rd round from some Middle State Community College that no one never heard of but are sure is the best QB ever. On top of that, said QB could have been drafted in the 7th.

    You know, because they are smarter than everyone else.

    1. rage114 says:

      Oh, I forgot. The 1st round drafted DE is actually projected to be a safety/LB tweener which will make him a fast ball and perfect for this defense. 34 sacks as a rookie. Book it.

  72. jdc15 says:

    Of course if the Eagles hierarchy feels a Qb can lead them to a Super Bowl, they should draft him. But, in my opinion they won’t find him this year. Luck will be gone, and there is a better than good chance that Barkley and Griffin return to school. Jones is not a franchise guy in my opinion, and Tannehill won’t go in the 1st as he needs much work and time. With additional picks, Philly may look to get a Qb in the 2nd-3rd round or so, as there is quality depth at the position this year.

    In my opinion, the Eagles should trade down out of the top 10, and draft one of the Alabama linebackers, Hightower or Upshaw.

  73. Shaun says:

    Finally!! this was like the 800 pound gorilla in the room to me….I like Vick and how he’s improved @ QB, but he has limitations that he’s never gonna overcome (height, injury-prone, ineptness to read blitz) This is a good year to suck (much as it pains me to say as a Eagles fan) but we gotta get a QB in here who truly fits the system- unlike Donnie or Vick where you really had to break down their mechanics and habits and change them to fit the system. I like RGIII and Landry Jones the most….

    1. Shaun says:

      But knowing Big Red, he’ll prolly draft a O-lineman or D-lineman early so they can sit on the bench and not make an impact or better yet he’ll trade back to get more picks so he can select more linemen and 7th round linebackers and safeties

  74. Immynimmy says:

    LOL, I found out a few weeks ago that Sanchez is getting paid 14 million this year. That’s more than Rodgers and a little less than Brady.

  75. Immynimmy says:

    As long as it’s not Landry Jones or Matt Barkley.

    1. slandog says:

      What is wrong with Landry and Barkley? I’m not saying you’re wrong I’m just not a college scout at all, I’m just wondering what you don’t like about them.

      1. Immynimmy says:

        I could probably write a really long post about it, but I’ll keep it short

        Barkley:
        Bad accuracy, and a low completion percentage (keep in mind he plays in the weak Pac-10)
        Great field vision, but throws a lot of picks
        BAD BAD BAD pocket presence
        Not mobile and kinda small.

        Jones:
        Benefits from great WR and a great O line
        Easy system in OU
        Struggles with pressure

        I actually think Jones’s measurables are good and overall hes a great QB and get be a pro bowler, but that team he plays on is very good and a fear that is what has made him look good. It really depends on what team drafts him. He does seem very NFL ready and has great size, accuracy and smarts. I would probably take RG3 over him and def Luck.

        1. Smitty2K3 says:

          How are you going to say Barkley has bad accuracy and a low completion percentage? In his last four games he has completed more than 72% of his passes with 1238 yards, 17 TDs and 2 INTs. He’s been playing light’s out and is actually playing better than Luck of late. Not saying he’s better than Luck. No way. But he’s the 2nd best QB in the class in my eyes.

  76. Bill says:

    Yeah, we definitely need to draft a QB. No question about it. Frankly I’m surprised we’re not all on the same page here.

  77. Free Plax says:

    What are the Eggs going to do at WR, it seems like that has gone from a strength to a weakness this year

  78. Matt G says:

    Best player available

  79. CJ says:

    Stephen Tulloch will be available again next season. He has experience behind Washburn’s wide-9 and is not a TOTAL liability in coveage. A top 5 QB is a huge boom/bust risk, as is any 1st round draft pick, but the boom means more to the franchise’s long-term success.

    1. C_Wilson says:

      Perhaps if they had gotten Tulloch in the first place…nevermind. Don’t want to get into that missed opportunity. But he could be a good signing. I’m all for a QB in the 1st if the right one is there and will no doubt be the guy to lead this franchise in a couple of years.

  80. CJ says:

    Totally agree. People raising Vick’s contract as a point of contention as to why they won’t go for a QB early don’t consider a possible trade or cut. I would love to get a stud LB; Luke Kiechly looks great, but is undersized; we know how Andy loves undersized LBs, but they can be found late (Brian Rolle drafted in the 6th round, and he has been one of the top 3 defenders on this team this season). A franchise QB like Brady falls to the 6th round once in a blue moon, and Patrick Willis isn’t leading the 49ers to the Super Bowl.

    1. Smitty2K3 says:

      “(Brian Rolle drafted in the 6th round, and he has been one of the top 3 defenders on this team this season).”

      That’s not saying much…

  81. Eagles Fan in Nola says:

    I think this argument centers around what coach is leading the Eagles this offseason and/or the person in charge of player personnel. If its Reid, I say definitely no considering he will, or at least should, be thinking about winning a Super Bowl as fast as humanly possible. Certainly a first round, top ten draft pick would best be used at a position of need rather than a backup QB if we’re trying to win in 2012. I’d imagine the biggest need would be somewhere on defense. If Roseman/Banner have final say, well then maybe we do pick a QB since it makes sense financially and will set them up with a QB of the future. If its a new coach/GM, well who the hell knows. Ultimately this question can’t be answered until we know who will be calling the shots.

    1. Eagles Fan in Nola says:

      That being said, if I do get picked to run the show, as I’m assuming I will, i’d pick best player available in the first round – hopefully a can’t miss tackle or Dlineman (someone who can preferably play both the pass AND THE RUN) and then consider taking a QB if he slips to early second. I’ve read the LB class is pretty deep as well, so maybe we can land one with the Cardinals second round pick, which may actually be slightly BEHIND ours (who would have guessed that at the beginning of the season??).

  82. DerfDiggy says:

    Here are the moves the Eagles should make:

    1.Fire Fat Andy
    2.Hire Rob Ryan
    3.Draft RGIII…sit him for 2 years
    4.Reconstruct that defense under Ryan’s mold.
    5.Enjoy my wrath and hatred as a Cowboys fan as the Eagles finally win a superbowl in 2015.

    That’s just how I see it happening:(

    1. I’m pretty sure I’m on board with 1, I could be talked into 3, obviously 5 would be more than OK.

      But 2 and 4… No. effing. way. Rob Ryan doesn’t have anything close to HC-worthy resume.

      1. Tracer Bullet says:

        He wants the Eagles to hire Rob Ryan because he doesn’t want Ryan in Dallas anymore. I’M ON TO YOU, DERF DIGGY.

          1. DerfDiggy says:

            Hahaha, he’s a above average DC….but a great motivator(I believe..i’m not in the locker room). I think he’d do a great job at HC actually, better than a DC.
            My pick wasn’t Ryan to be honest…sadly, Dom Capers couldn’t be pry’d away. Rob’s done a good job in Dallas…improved some areas, some areas need improvement. The boys just don’t have the personnel to really make a huge improvement though, and I know that can be a knock on the coaching, but…I’m giving him the benefit of the doubt.

            I’m rambling…but I think he’d be a good coach…RGIII is going to be a great player for a new coach to bring in. I’d be highly upset…I was(and still am), hoping that RGIII slips and the Boys somehow grab him. Sadly I don’t think that’ll happen.

            The Eagles need a DC with a resume though….Rob would be a upgrade over Juan…No?

            1. Anybody would be an upgrade over Juan.

              1. slandog says:

                I’d be an upgrade over Juan!

            2. Free Plax says:

              Since when did Rob Ryan become an above average DC, this guy has been around awhile and his track record screams middle of the pack.

              1. Tracer Bullet says:

                True, but the Eagles have 3-5 more wins with a middle-of-the pack DC.

              2. DerfDiggy says:

                I won’t argue Ryan’s resume…there are 32 DC’s in the league right now….he’s better than more than half of them. IE Above average.
                I’ll leave it at that.

                Regardless….The reason the Eagles are where they are is because they’ve become finesse. I’ve always feared the Eagles for their tough defense. Smash mouth football….crazy blitzes…crazy pressure. I think Rob can return some of that to Philly.

                But…hey..what do I know?
                If it was my decision, I’d promote Juan to head coach, franchise Desean, keep McCoy on his rookie contract and throw a whole bunch of money at FA’s this off-season.

                :)

  83. packimop says:

    I’d definitely say take Kuechly with their first pick, then maybe (if a QB slips that the Eagles think they could develop) use both the second round picks to move back into the first. After all, these two second rounders they have are going to be early second rounders, basically first round picks. They have a lot of value.

  84. ICDogg says:

    Let’s say for the sake of argument that the Eagles are drafting 5th. At that position there is frequently an opportunity to draft a very rare talent.

    This is not when you fuss over exactly what position he is. You don’t pass over someone you think could be great for someone who you don’t see as great even if he has a position that you do not have the greatest need for.

    This is where talent overrides need.

    1. Tracer Bullet says:

      Yep. I still say they take a QB at that point because it’s kind of a waste to draft the positions they really need help (LB, S, maybe TE) that high. Moreover, a new coach (please, God) and/or new front office (please, God) would want to make an impression and nothing does that like a highly-drafted QB like Griffin (PLEASE, GOD).

      1. CJ says:

        What’s wrong with Celek and Harbor?

        1. Tracer Bullet says:

          I have no idea but there is a reason Celek is #31 in DYAR and #26 in DVOA while Harbor has only been targeted for 11 passes. They’re not blocking that much.

          1. CJ says:

            Vick doesn’t target the TEs (always looking deep); Celek had a breakout season before Vick took the reins. And Harbor has made plenty of tough catches. As far as blocking, McCoy is still leading the league in rushing (until Sunday at least)

            1. Tracer Bullet says:

              Algie Crumpler went to multiple Pro Bowls, but Vick can’t find a use for Celek?

              1. CJ says:

                Look at Celek’s DVOA from 2009. Vick is just plain not looking for him.

      2. Smitty2K3 says:

        Are you saying Griffin because you’re assuming Barkley will be gone? Or are you saying you want Griffin over Barkley?

        Because Barkley is the clear 2nd QB in the draft class and probably would be taken 1st overall if not for Luck. Barkley is the guy I want. No doubt about it. It’s time for a little QB style change in Philadelphia. Cunningham, McNabb, and Vick are three of my all-time favorite Eagles, but I’m ready to give a pocket passer a try. Those three QB’s were some of the most exciting QB’s to watch. But they could never get us over the proverbial hump.

        And yes I know Griffin is exceptionally accurate and has a strong arm, but I just think Barkley is the better passer and from what I hear he’s a very smart kid who can read defenses well. I may be splitting hairs, but Barkley should be the QB we target.

        1. deg0ey says:

          I reckon the Colts take Luck as Peyton’s replacement and the Dolphins take Barkley with picks 1 and 7 respectively. I’m expecting us to be picking around 9th and we may well be in a position to get Griffin, but if we manage to finish above the Skins, I could see them taking him before us.

  85. The Legend says:

    I guess it wouldn’t surprise me if we did since we all were probably surprised by the drafting of Kolb in 07 but I doubt we do, we have more needs elsewhere. For example lets say Justin Blackmon falls to us it would be tempting to take him to take over for DeSean if he isn’t here next year

    1. Jason-E says:

      I want Blackmon.

      1. C_Wilson says:

        What if the keep DeSean AND draft Blackmon?

        1. C_Wilson says:

          I know, not likely, but dare to dream…

          1. Jason-E says:

            I only want Blackmon because it’s obvious to me Desean will be gone. If Desean is still here, then the Blackmon dream is dead. Then I’m all about a stud LB.

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